{"id":915,"date":"2017-10-11T16:31:40","date_gmt":"2017-10-11T14:31:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nazor.org\/?page_id=915"},"modified":"2017-10-16T16:58:00","modified_gmt":"2017-10-16T14:58:00","slug":"hybridni-valky-1-pravo-hybridniho-valceni","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.nazor.org\/?page_id=915","title":{"rendered":"Hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lky 1. Pr\u00e1vo hybridn\u00edho v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lky 1. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">Pr\u00e1vo hybridn\u00edho v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/orientalreview.org\/2016\/03\/04\/hybrid-wars-1-the-law-of-hybrid-warfare\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><u>origin\u00e1l zdroj<\/u><\/a> &#8211; vlastn\u00ed p\u0159eklad 11.10.2017<\/p>\n<p><strong>Andrej Korybko (Russia)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Velk\u00fdm c\u00edlem stoj\u00edc\u00edm v pozad\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00e9 z hybridn\u00edch v\u00e1lek je snaha o zni\u010den\u00ed nadn\u00e1rodn\u00edch propojovac\u00edch projekt\u016f pomoc\u00ed zvn\u011bj\u0161ku vyprovokovan\u00fdch konflikt\u016f identit (etnick\u00e9, n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9, oblastn\u00ed, politick\u00e9 apod.), uvnit\u0159 c\u00edlov\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00edle pl\u00e1n\u016f rusk\u00e9 eurasijsk\u00e9 integrace a \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 Hedv\u00e1bn\u00e9 stezky jsou ter\u010di strategie americk\u00e9 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lky a to je d\u016fvodem otev\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed \u0161irok\u00e9ho rozsahu zemepisn\u00fdch boji\u0161\u0165. Andrej zkoum\u00e1 Velk\u00fd Heartland, <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Balkans\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Balk\u00e1n<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Association_of_Southeast_Asian_Nations\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ASEAN<\/a>, transoce\u00e1nskou Afriku a <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Latin_America\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Latinskou Ameriku<\/a> a identifikuje zraniteln\u00e1 m\u00edsta, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 ka\u017ed\u00fd z p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00fdch tranzitn\u00edch st\u00e1t\u016f k tomuto revolu\u010dn\u00edmu typu asymetrick\u00e9ho v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0.05em;\">\u00a0Jeho jedine\u010dn\u00e1 metodologie zahrnuje prom\u011bnn\u00e9 etnick\u00e9ho p\u016fvodu, n\u00e1bo\u017eenstv\u00ed, historie, administrativn\u00edch hranic, fyzick\u00e9 geografie a soci\u00e1ln\u011b-ekonomick\u00fdch rozd\u00edl\u016f p\u0159i vytv\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed komplexn\u00edch anal\u00fdz, kter\u00e9 ukazuj\u00ed na slabiny jednotliv\u00fdch zem\u00ed v hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lce. C\u00edlem pr\u00e1ce je uk\u00e1zat prost\u0159edky, kter\u00e9 by USA mohly p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u011b vyu\u017e\u00edt p\u0159i destabilizaci t\u011bchto c\u00edlen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a tuto znalost takto poskytnout t\u011bm kdo rozhoduj\u00ed a ve\u0159ejnosti p\u0159edem, aby byli l\u00e9pe p\u0159ipraveni \u0159e\u0161it n\u011bkter\u00e9 p\u0159edem pl\u00e1novan\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e, kter\u00e9 vznikly.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Pr\u00e1vo hybridn\u00edho v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0.05em;\">\u00a0<strong><em>Hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lka<\/em><\/strong> je jedn\u00edm z nejv\u00fdznamn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch strategick\u00fdch ud\u00e1lost\u00ed, kter\u00e9 Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty v\u016fbec vedly a tento p\u0159echod z barevn\u00fdch revoluc\u00ed na nekonven\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lky by m\u011bl dominovat destabilizuj\u00edc\u00edm trend\u016fm n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch desetilet\u00ed. Ti kdo nejsou zvykl\u00ed p\u0159istupovat ke geopolitice z pohledu hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lky, by mohli m\u00edt t\u011b\u017ekosti s pochopen\u00edm, kde se mohou objevit dal\u0161\u00ed, ale ve skute\u010dnosti nen\u00ed tak obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 identifikovat regiony a zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 jsou nejv\u00edce vystaveny nebezpe\u010d\u00ed, \u017ee se stanou ob\u011b\u0165mi t\u00e9to nov\u00e9 formy agrese. Kl\u00ed\u010dem k progn\u00f3ze je souhlas s t\u00edm, \u017ee <em><strong>hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lky jsou zvn\u011bj\u0161ku provokovan\u00fdmi asymetrick\u00fdmi konflikty, kter\u00e9 jsou zalo\u017eeny na sabotov\u00e1n\u00ed konkr\u00e9tn\u00edch geoekonomick\u00fdch z\u00e1jm\u016f<\/strong><\/em> a vych\u00e1zej\u00ed z tohoto po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00edho bodu, je pom\u011brn\u011b snadn\u00e9 ur\u010dit, kde by mohly ude\u0159it dal\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"letter-spacing: 0.05em;\">\u00a0S\u00e9rie za\u010dne vysv\u011btlen\u00edm vzor\u016f stoj\u00edc\u00edch za hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lkou a prohloub\u00ed \u010dten\u00e1\u0159ovo pochopen\u00ed strategick\u00fdch kontur. Pot\u00e9 prok\u00e1\u017eeme, jak se d\u0159\u00edve rozvinut\u00fd r\u00e1mec skute\u010dn\u011b projevil b\u011bhem americk\u00fdch v\u00e1lek na S\u00fdrii a na Ukrajin\u011b, jejich prvn\u00edch dvou ob\u011btech hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lky. Dal\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st hodnot\u00ed v\u0161echny dosud probran\u00e9 lekce a aplikuje je na progn\u00f3zu dal\u0161\u00ed sehran\u00fdch hybridn\u00edch v\u00e1lek a nejzraniteln\u011bj\u0161\u00edch geopolitick\u00fdch spou\u0161t\u011b\u010d\u016f v nich. N\u00e1sledn\u00e9 dodatky k s\u00e9rii se budou zam\u011b\u0159ovat na n\u011bkter\u00e9 regiony a vysv\u011btlovat, pro\u010d jsou tak strategicky, soci\u00e1ln\u011b a politicky zraniteln\u00e9, aby se staly dal\u0161\u00edmi ob\u011b\u0165mi americk\u00e9ho postmodern\u00edho v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Modelov\u00e1n\u00ed hybridn\u00edch v\u00e1lek<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span id=\"result_box\" lang=\"cs\"><span title=\"The first thing that one needs to know about Hybrid Wars is that they\u2019re never unleashed against an American ally or anywhere that the US has premier preexisting infrastructural interests.\">Prvn\u00ed v\u011bc, kterou je t\u0159eba v\u011bd\u011bt o hybridn\u00edch v\u00e1lk\u00e1ch, je ta, \u017ee\u00a0nikdy nejsou rozpout\u00e1ny\u00a0proti americk\u00e9mu spojenci ani kdekoli jinde, kde maj\u00ed USA\u00a0hlavn\u00ed p\u0159edchoz\u00ed infrastrukturn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy. <\/span><span title=\"The chaotic processes that are unleashed during the post-modern regime change ploy are impossible to fully control and could potentially engender the same type of geopolitical blowback against the US that Washington is trying to directly or indirectly channel towards its multipolar rivals.\">Chaotick\u00e9 procesy, kter\u00e9\u00a0byly uvoln\u011bny b\u011bhem postmodern\u00ed zm\u011bny re\u017eimu,\u00a0je nemo\u017en\u00e9 pln\u011b ovl\u00e1dat a mohly by potenci\u00e1ln\u011b vyvolat stejn\u00fd typ geopolitick\u00e9ho \u00faderu proti USA. Proto se je Washington sna\u017e\u00ed p\u0159\u00edmo \u010di nep\u0159\u00edmo nasm\u011brovat proti sv\u00fdm multipol\u00e1rn\u00edm soupe\u0159\u016fm. <\/span><span title=\"Correspondingly, this is why the US won\u2019t ever attempt Hybrid War anywhere that it has interests which are \u201ctoo big to fail\u201d, although such an assessment is of course contemporaneously relative and could quickly change depending on the geopolitical circumstances.\">Z toho vypl\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee se USA nikdy nebudou pokou\u0161et o hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lku n\u011bkde, kde maj\u00ed z\u00e1jmy, kter\u00e9 jsou &#8222;p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 velk\u00e9 na to, aby se nezda\u0159ily&#8220;, i kdy\u017e takov\u00e9 posouzen\u00ed je samoz\u0159ejm\u011b sou\u010dasn\u011b relativn\u00ed a m\u016f\u017ee se rychle m\u011bnit v z\u00e1vislosti na geopolitick\u00fdch pom\u011brech. <\/span><span title=\"Nevertheless, it remains a general rule of thumb that the US won't ever intentionally sabotage its own interests unless there's a scorched-earth benefit in doing so during a theater-wide retreat, in this context conceivably in Saudi Arabia if the US is ever\">P\u0159esto z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 obecn\u00fdm pravidlem, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nikdy nebudou z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b sabotovat sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy, pokud nebudou m\u00edt za to, \u017ee by\u00a0v pr\u016fb\u011bhu sehran\u00e9ho \u00fastupu do\u0161lo k p\u0159\u00ednosu pro sp\u00e1len\u00e9 zem\u011b a to v Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii, pokud by USA byly nav\u017edycky <\/span><span title=\"pushed out of the Mideast.\">vyhn\u00e1ny\u00a0z Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Geostrategicko-ekonomick\u00e9 faktory<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span id=\"result_box\" lang=\"cs\"><span title=\"Before addressing the geo-economic underpinnings of Hybrid War, it\u2019s important to state out that the US also has geostrategic ones as well, such as entrapping Russia in a predetermined quagmire.\">P\u0159edt\u00edm, ne\u017e se budeme zab\u00fdvat geoekonomick\u00fdmi z\u00e1klady hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lky, je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee USA maj\u00ed tak\u00e9 geostrategick\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy, nap\u0159\u00edklad zadr\u017een\u00ed Ruska na p\u0159edem stanoven\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed. <\/span><span title=\"The \u201cReverse Brzezinski\u201d, as the author has taken to calling it, is simultaneously applicable to Eastern Europe through Donbass, the Caucasus through Nagorno-Karabakh, and Central Asia through the Fergana Valley, and if synchronized through timed provocations, then this triad of\">&#8222;<a href=\"https:\/\/orientalreview.org\/2014\/06\/22\/the-reverse-brzezinski-the-ultimate-eurasian-dilemma-i\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Reverse Brzezinski<\/a>&#8222;, jak jej autor nazval, je sou\u010dasn\u011b aplikovateln\u00fd na <a href=\"https:\/\/cs.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/V%C3%BDchodn%C3%AD_Evropa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evropu<\/a> p\u0159es <a href=\"https:\/\/cs.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Donbas\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Donbas<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/cs.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Kavkaz\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Kavkaz<\/a> p\u0159es <a href=\"https:\/\/cs.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/N%C3%A1horn%C3%AD_Karabach\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">N\u00e1horn\u00ed Karabach<\/a> a <a href=\"https:\/\/cs.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/St%C5%99edn%C3%AD_Asie\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">St\u0159edn\u00ed Asii<\/a> p\u0159es <a href=\"https:\/\/orientalreview.org\/2014\/10\/11\/uzbekistans-bubbling-pot-of-destabilization\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u00fadol\u00ed Fergana<\/a> a pokud je synchronizov\u00e1n prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm \u010dasovan\u00fdch provokac\u00ed, pak by se tato trojice <\/span><span title=\"traps could prove lethally efficient in permanently ensnaring the Russian bear.\">past\u00ed\u00a0mohla uk\u00e1zat jako smrteln\u011b \u00fa\u010dinn\u00e9 pro trval\u00e9 uv\u011bzn\u011bn\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho medv\u011bda. <\/span><span title=\"This Machiavellian scheme will always remain a risk because it's premised on an irrefutable geopolitical reality, and the best that Moscow can do is try to preempt the concurrent conflagration of its post-Soviet periphery, or promptly and properly respond to American-provoked crises the moment\">Tento machiavelistick\u00fd pl\u00e1n z\u016fstane v\u017edy rizikem, proto\u017ee je zalo\u017een na nevyvratiteln\u00e9 geopolitick\u00e9 realit\u011b a to nejlep\u0161\u00ed co m\u016f\u017ee Moskva ud\u011blat je, pokusit se p\u0159edch\u00e1zet soub\u011b\u017en\u00e9mu vytv\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed po\u017e\u00e1r\u016f ve sv\u00e9 post-sov\u011btsk\u00e9 periferii nebo okam\u017eit\u011b a spr\u00e1vn\u011b reagovat na Amerikou vyvolan\u00e9 krize v momentu, kdy se <\/span><span title=\"they emerge.\">objev\u00ed. <\/span><span title=\"The geostrategic elements of Hybrid War are thus somewhat inexplicable from the geo-economic ones, especially in the case of Russia, but in making the examined pattern more broadly pertinent to other targets such as China and Iran, it's necessary to omit the \u201cReverse Brzezinski\">Geostrategick\u00e9 prvky hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lky jsou tak pon\u011bkud\u00a0nevysv\u011btliteln\u00e9 geoekonomick\u00fdmi prvky, zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b pak v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Ruska, ale v t\u00edm, \u017ee zkouman\u00fd vzor je obecn\u011bji relevantn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pro jin\u00e9 c\u00edle, jako je \u010c\u00edna a \u00cdr\u00e1n, je t\u0159eba vynechat &#8222;Reverse Brzezinski <\/span><span title=\"\u201d stratagem as a prerequisite and instead focus more on the economic motivations that the US has in each instance.\">&#8220; strategii jako p\u0159edpoklad a nam\u00edsto toho se v\u00edce soust\u0159edit na ekonomick\u00e9 motivace, kter\u00e9 maji Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty v ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span id=\"result_box\" lang=\"cs\"><span title=\"\u201d stratagem as a prerequisite and instead focus more on the economic motivations that the US has in each instance.\">\u00a0Tuto \u0161ablonu lze jasn\u011b vid\u011bt v S\u00fdrii a na Ukrajin\u011b a je to z\u00e1kon o hybridn\u00edho boje. Konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed taktiky a politick\u00e9 technologie pou\u017e\u00edvan\u00e9 p\u0159i ka\u017ed\u00e9 destabilizaci se mohou li\u0161it, ale strategick\u00fd koncept z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 v souladu se z\u00e1kladn\u00edm principem. S ohledem na\u00a0kone\u010dn\u00fd c\u00edl je nyn\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9 p\u0159ej\u00edt z teorie na praxi a za\u010d\u00edt s mapov\u00e1n\u00edm geografick\u00fdch tras r\u016fzn\u00fdch projekt\u016f, na kter\u00e9 se chce USA zam\u011b\u0159it. K\u00a0ozna\u010den\u00ed multipol\u00e1rn\u00edch\u00a0nadn\u00e1rodn\u00ed spojovac\u00ed projekty budeme hledat v oblasti energetick\u00e9, institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed nebo ekonomick\u00e9, a \u010d\u00edm v\u00edce se tyto oblasti budou p\u0159ekr\u00fdvat mezi t\u011bmito t\u0159emi kategoriemi, t\u00edm bude pravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee je pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lky v dan\u00e9 zemi.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0Spole\u010densko-politick\u00e1 struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed zranitelnost<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span id=\"result_box\" lang=\"cs\">Pot\u00e9,\u00a0kdy USA\u00a0ur\u010d\u00ed sv\u016fj c\u00edl, za\u010dne hledat struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed zranitelnosti, kter\u00e9 vyu\u017eije v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lce. V tomto kontextu se nejedn\u00e1 o fyzick\u00e9 objekty, kter\u00e9 by m\u011bly b\u00fdt sabotov\u00e1ny, jako jsou elektr\u00e1rny a silnice (a\u010dkoli jsou tak\u00e9 zaznamen\u00e1ny, i kdy\u017e r\u016fzn\u00fdmi destabiliza\u010dn\u00edmi t\u00fdmy), ale o spole\u010densko-politick\u00e9 charakteristiky, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed b\u00fdt manipulov\u00e1ny za \u00fa\u010delem atraktivn\u00edho zd\u016frazn\u011bn\u00ed ur\u010dit\u00e9 demografick\u00e9 &#8222;Odd\u011blitelnosti&#8220; od st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed n\u00e1rodn\u00ed struktury a t\u00edm &#8222;legitimizovat&#8220; svou nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed, ze zahrani\u010d\u00ed \u0159\u00edzenou vzpouru proti autorit\u00e1m. N\u00e1sleduj\u00ed nej\u010dast\u011bj\u0161\u00ed spole\u010densko-politick\u00e9 struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed zranitelnosti, jeliko\u017e se vztahuj\u00ed k p\u0159\u00edprav\u011b na hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lku a jestli\u017ee ka\u017ed\u00e1 z nich m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt v\u00e1z\u00e1na na ur\u010dit\u00e9 geografick\u00e9 m\u00edsto, pak je mnohem pravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee budou pou\u017eity jako galvaniza\u010dn\u00ed magnety pro odstartov\u00e1n\u00ed &#8222;Barevn\u00e9\u00a0revoluce&#8220; a pro p\u0159edb\u011b\u017en\u00e9 \u00fazemn\u00ed vymezen\u00ed jako aspekt nekonven\u010dn\u00edho v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed. Jsou to: <\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>etnika<\/li>\n<li>n\u00e1bo\u017eenstv\u00ed<\/li>\n<li>historie<\/li>\n<li>administrativn\u00ed hranice<\/li>\n<li>spole\u010densko-ekonomick\u00e1 nerovnost<\/li>\n<li>fyzick\u00e9 zem\u011bpisn\u00e9 um\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span id=\"result_box\" lang=\"cs\">\u010c\u00edm v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed je p\u0159ekryt\u00ed, kter\u00e9ho lze dos\u00e1hnout mezi ka\u017ed\u00fdm z t\u011bchto faktor\u016f, t\u00edm siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed se st\u00e1v\u00e1 potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed energie hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lky, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e ka\u017ed\u00e1 p\u0159ekr\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed se prom\u011bnn\u00e1 exponenci\u00e1ln\u011b n\u00e1sob\u00ed celkovou \u017eivotaschopnost a stacion\u00e1rn\u00ed s\u00edlu p\u0159ich\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed kampan\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>P\u0159edb\u011b\u017en\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edprava<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span id=\"result_box\" lang=\"cs\">Hybridn\u00edm v\u00e1lk\u00e1m v\u017edy p\u0159edch\u00e1z\u00ed obdob\u00ed spole\u010densk\u00fdch a struktur\u00e1ln\u00edch p\u0159\u00edprav. Prvn\u00ed typ se zab\u00fdv\u00e1 aspekty informa\u010dn\u00edho a m\u011bkk\u00e9ho v\u00fdkonu, kter\u00e9 maximalizuj\u00ed p\u0159ijet\u00ed\u00a0nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed destabilizace kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch demografick\u00fdch skupin a vedou je k domn\u011bnce, \u017ee je zapot\u0159eb\u00ed n\u011bjak\u00e9ho druhu akce (nebo pasivn\u00edho p\u0159ijet\u00ed ostatn\u00edch), aby se zm\u011bnil sou\u010dasn\u00fd stav v\u011bc\u00ed. Druh\u00fd typ se t\u00fdk\u00e1 r\u016fzn\u00fdch trik\u016f,\u00a0ke kter\u00fdm se USA sna\u017e\u00ed uch\u00fdlit, aby c\u00edlov\u00e1 vl\u00e1da ne\u00famysln\u011b zhor\u0161ila r\u016fzn\u00e9 soci\u00e1ln\u011b-politick\u00e9 rozd\u00edly, kter\u00e9 ji\u017e byly identifikov\u00e1ny, s c\u00edlem vytv\u00e1\u0159et od\u0161t\u011bpen\u00ed zneklidn\u011bn\u00ed identity, kter\u00e9 je pak n\u00e1chyln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ke spole\u010densk\u00e9mu p\u0159edp\u0159\u00edprav\u011b a n\u00e1sledn\u00fdm zm\u011bn\u00e1m politick\u00e9ho uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed \u0159\u00edzen\u00e9ho nevl\u00e1dn\u00edmi organizacemi NGO (napojen\u00fdmi ve v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b p\u0159\u00edpad\u016f na\u00a0Nadac\u00ed G. Sorose a\/nebo na N\u00e1rodn\u00ed nadaci pro demokracii).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span id=\"result_box\" lang=\"cs\">K roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed taktiky struktur\u00e1ln\u00edho p\u0159edb\u011b\u017en\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edprav je nej\u010dast\u011bji u\u017e\u00edvan\u00fdm glob\u00e1ln\u011b uzn\u00e1van\u00fdm prost\u0159edkem\u00a0sankce, jejich\u017e implicitn\u00edm c\u00edlem (a\u010dkoli ne v\u017edy \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdm) bylo v\u017edy &#8222;u\u010dinit \u017eivot slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edm&#8220; pro pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9ho ob\u010dana tak, aby\u00a0se stal p\u0159\u00edstupn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm my\u0161lence zm\u011bny re\u017eimu, a je tak snadn\u011bji zasahov\u00e1n t\u00edm, \u017ee na n\u011bj p\u016fsob\u00ed\u00a0tyto vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed impulzy. M\u00e9n\u011b zn\u00e1m\u00e9 jsou v\u0161ak metody nep\u0159\u00edm\u00e9, p\u0159esto v sou\u010dasnosti t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u0161ude uplat\u0148ovan\u00e9, k dosa\u017een\u00ed tohoto c\u00edle, a ty\u00a0obklopuj\u00ed s\u00edlu, kterou mus\u00ed USA ovliv\u0148ovat n\u011bkter\u00e9 rozpo\u010dtov\u00e9 funkce c\u00edlen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, a to v\u00fd\u0161i p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f, kter\u00e9 dost\u00e1vaj\u00ed, a v\u011bc\u00ed\u00a0za kter\u00e9 je p\u0159esn\u011b utr\u00e1cej\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span id=\"result_box\" lang=\"cs\"><span title=\"The global slump in energy and overall commodity prices has hit exporting states extraordinarily hard, many of which are disproportionately dependent on such selling such resources in order to satisfy their fiscal ends, and the decrease in revenue almost always leads to eventual cuts in social spending.\">Celosv\u011btov\u00fd propad v oblasti energetiky a celkov\u00fdch cen komodit zas\u00e1hl vyv\u00e1\u017eej\u00edc\u00ed st\u00e1ty mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b tvrd\u011b, z nich mnoh\u00e9 jsou nep\u0159im\u011b\u0159en\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00e9 na prodeji takov\u00fdch zdroj\u016f, aby uspokojily sv\u00e9 fisk\u00e1ln\u00ed c\u00edle, a pokles p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u017edy vede ke kone\u010dn\u00e9mu sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed soci\u00e1ln\u00edch v\u00fddaj\u016f. <\/span><span title=\"Parallel with this, some states are facing American-manufactured security threats that they\u2019re forced to urgently respond to, thus necessitating them to unexpectedly budget more money to their defense programs that could have otherwise been invested in social ones.\">Sou\u010dasn\u011b s t\u00edm n\u011bkter\u00e9 st\u00e1ty \u010del\u00ed americk\u00fdm bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edm hrozb\u00e1m,\u00a0 na kter\u00e9 jsou nuceny nal\u00e9hav\u011b reagovat, a to je nut\u00ed neo\u010dek\u00e1van\u011b vy\u010dlenit v\u00edce pen\u011bz na obrann\u00e9 programy, pen\u011bz kter\u00e9 by jinak mohly b\u00fdt investov\u00e1ny do soci\u00e1ln\u00ed oblasti. <\/span><span title=\"On their own, each of these \u2018tracks\u2019 is designed to decrease the government\u2019s social expenditure so as to incubate the medium-term conditions necessary for enhancing the prospects of a Color Revolution, the first stage of Hybrid Warfare.\">S\u00e1ma o sob\u011b je ka\u017ed\u00e1 z t\u011bchto &#8222;tras&#8220; navr\u017eena tak, aby sni\u017eovala vl\u00e1dn\u00ed soci\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fddaje zp\u016fsobem, \u017ee napom\u00e1h\u00e1 zr\u00e1n\u00ed st\u0159edn\u011bdob\u00fdch podm\u00ednek nezbytn\u00fdch pro pos\u00edlen\u00ed vyhl\u00eddek na &#8222;barevn\u00e9 revoluce&#8220;, prvn\u00ed f\u00e1zi hybridn\u00edho v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed. <\/span><span title=\"In the event that a state experiences both limited revenue intake and an unexpected need to hike its defense budget, then this would have a compound effect on cutting social services and might even push the Color Revolution timeframe forward from the medium- to short-term,\">V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee st\u00e1t za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 jak omezen\u00ed\u00a0p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f, tak i neo\u010dek\u00e1vanou pot\u0159ebu zv\u00fd\u0161it sv\u016fj obrann\u00fd rozpo\u010det, m\u00e1 to vliv \u00a0na sn\u00ed\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed soci\u00e1ln\u00edch slu\u017eeb a mohlo by to dokonce posunout \u010dasov\u00fd r\u00e1mec &#8222;barevn\u00fdch revoluc\u00ed&#8220; vp\u0159ed ze st\u0159edn\u011bdob\u00e9ho na kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fd, <\/span><span title=\"depending on the severity of the resultant domestic crisis and the success that the American-influenced NGOs have in politically organizing the previously examined identity blocs against the government.\">v z\u00e1vislosti na z\u00e1va\u017enosti v\u00fdsledn\u00e9 dom\u00e1c\u00ed krize a \u00fasp\u011bchu, kter\u00fd maj\u00ed americk\u00e9 nevl\u00e1dn\u00ed organizace v ovliv\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed politick\u00e9ho uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed d\u0159\u00edve ozna\u010den\u00fdch\u00a0blok\u016f identity proti vl\u00e1d\u011b.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lky 1. Pr\u00e1vo hybridn\u00edho v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed origin\u00e1l zdroj &#8211; vlastn\u00ed p\u0159eklad 11.10.2017 Andrej Korybko (Russia) Velk\u00fdm c\u00edlem stoj\u00edc\u00edm v pozad\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00e9 z hybridn\u00edch v\u00e1lek je snaha o zni\u010den\u00ed nadn\u00e1rodn\u00edch propojovac\u00edch projekt\u016f pomoc\u00ed zvn\u011bj\u0161ku vyprovokovan\u00fdch konflikt\u016f identit (etnick\u00e9, n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9, oblastn\u00ed, politick\u00e9&hellip;<\/p>\n<p class=\"more-link-p\"><a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nazor.org\/?page_id=915\">Read more &rarr;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":911,"menu_order":1,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-915","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nazor.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/915","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nazor.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nazor.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nazor.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nazor.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=915"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/www.nazor.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/915\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":940,"href":"https:\/\/www.nazor.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/915\/revisions\/940"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nazor.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/911"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nazor.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=915"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}